Dış Borç ve Askeri Harcamalar İlişkisi: Seçilmiş Orta Doğu Ülkeleri Üzerine Ekonometrik Bir Çalışma

Suat Hayri Şentürk

Özet


Bu çalışma seçilmiş 5 Orta Doğu ülkesinin (İran, Lübnan, Mısır, Türkiye ve Ürdün) özelinde dış borçlar ve askeri harcamalar ilişkisini, 1990-2019 dönemi için yıllık veri seti kullanarak ampirik olarak analiz etmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Dış borçlar ve askeri harcamalar arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi Kónya’nın (2006) Bootstrap panel Granger nedensellik analizinden istifade edilerek araştırılmıştır. Analiz sonucuna göre Türkiye için dış borçtan askeri harcamalara doğru tek yönlü bir nedensellik ilişkisinin olduğu; İran ve Mısır için çift yönlü bir nedensellik ilişkisi olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Lübnan ve Ürdün için ise böyle bir ilişkinin olmadığı görülmüştür.


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